From the economy bending policies of Trump 2.0 to the growing strength of the far right in Europe, the new alliance between Russia and the United States, the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, and the US President’s vow to upturn world trade rules, the markets are certainly navigating tricky times.

In recent months we’ve seen volatility in some areas but cautious optimism in others in a reflection of the hand-in-glove relationship between politics and markets.

Of course, economic policies, laws and regulations– think tax increases or decreases, new business regulations or even referendums – have a big effect on how investors allocate their portfolios and that impacts market performance.

In 2016, when the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, the UK pound plunged and more than US$2 trillion was wiped off global equity markets.

In the following four years until Brexit was finally achieved in 2020, the FTSE 100 performed poorly compared to other markets as domestic and international investors looked elsewhere to avoid risk. While it has risen since a massive drop during the coronavirus pandemic, the exodus of companies from the London Stock Exchange continues with almost 90 departures in 2024.

Interest rate movements and any hint of political instability can also bring about a sell off or a rally in prices, with companies holding off on capital investment and causing economic growth to slow.

Global oil prices rose 30% in 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine causing European stock markets to plunge 4% in a single day. Since then, oil prices have fluctuated and are now back to pre-war levels and gold has reached new heights as investors globally look for a safe haven from high geopolitical risks.

Do elections have an effect?

Elections, which almost always cause market disruptions during the uncertainty of the campaign period and shortly after the vote is known, have featured strongly in the past six months or so.

A review of 75 years of US market data has found that, while there may be outbursts of volatility in the lead up to the vote, there’s minimal impact on financial market performance in the medium to long term. The data shows that market returns are typically more dependent on economic and inflation trends rather than election results.

Nonetheless, the noisy 2024 US Presidential campaign saw some ups and downs in markets during the Democrats’ upheaval and the switch to Kamala Harris as candidate. Donald Trump’s various policy announcements on taxes, immigration, government cost cutting and tariffs both buoyed and dismayed investors.

Analysis by Macquarie University researchers of the three days before and after election day found significant abnormal returns in US equities immediately after the vote.

But the surge was short-lived as investor sentiment fluctuated. Small cap equities with more domestic exposure experienced the highest returns while the energy sector also saw substantial gains, in anticipation of regulatory changes.

While currently the S&P500 and the Nasdaq have both gained overall since the election, there’s been extreme share price volatility.

How Australia has fared

Meanwhile, any impact on markets ahead of Australia’s upcoming federal election  has so far been muted thanks to the volume of world events.

The on-again off-again US tariffs are causing more concern here for both policymakers and investors. Tariffs on our exports could mean higher prices and a drop in demand for our goods and services, leading to economic uncertainty.

In early February, the Australian share market took a dive immediately after President Trump’s announcement of tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China, wiping off around $50 billion from the ASX 200. They recovered slightly only to fall again later as the Reserve Bank cut interest rates. In the US, some tech companies delayed or cancelled their listing plans because of the volatility and uncertainty caused by the announcements.

Amid a turbulent start to 2025, most economists agree the markets are unlikely to hit last year’s 7.49% achieved by the S&P ASX 200.

Reserve Bank of Australia governor Michele Bullock is similarly downbeat on the prospects for the year, saying uncertainty about the global outlook remains “significant”.

Please get in touch if you’re watching world events and wondering about the impact on your portfolio.

Home values rebound at the end of the quarter after cash rate cut

Housing markets look to have moved past the recent short and shallow downturn. While the quarterly figures remained flat, housing values for the month of February saw a rebound as the RBA decreased the cash rate for the first time since November 2020.

CoreLogic’s national Home Value Index posted a broad-based rise of 0.3% in February that saw every capital increase, with the exception of Darwin, which posted a weak decrease of –0.1%.

A rebound where values were the weakest

The largest month-on-month change across the capitals was recorded in Melbourne and Hobart (both up +0.4%) where home values have previously been among the weakest. For Melbourne, the lift breaks a streak of ten consecutive months of falling home values.

Sydney recorded the second strongest increase of 0.3%. Conversely, the mid-sized capitals of Brisbane, Perth and Adelaide are no longer the strongest growth markets.

The expensive end of the market bouncing back

The return to growth across Sydney and Melbourne is being supported by the more expensive end of the market, rebounding quickly after high-value markets recorded the sharpest declines.

The regions recording growth

Regional housing conditions continued to show a stronger growth trend relative to the capital city counterparts, with values across the combined regionals index rising 0.4% over February and 1.0% over the quarter – compared to the capital city values which recorded a 0.3% monthly rise and a -0.4% quarterly fall.

Borrower sentiment leading the uptick

In the March CoreLogic report Tim Lawless said the improved housing conditions have more to do with improved sentiment than any immediate improvement in borrowing capacity.

“Expectations of lower interest rates, which solidified in February, look to be flowing through to improved buyer sentiment.”

Declining supply of listings and new homes being built

Improved market conditions may also be reflecting a slowdown in the amount of ‘for sale’ listings. New listings across the combined capitals were -4.7% lower than a year ago.

Low levels of new housing construction are also anticipated to support housing values, with multi-unit dwelling construction in particular, well below the average.

Expectations of a drawn-out cash rate

The most recent CoreLogic report noted that the rate-cutting cycle is very fresh and is likely to be drawn out. Lower mortgage rates are positive for housing markets, supporting a rise in borrowing capacity and serviceability assessments, but despite the recent rise, the cash rate is anticipated to remain relatively low for the near future which is anticipated to limit growth.

Dwelling values over the quarter

Melbourne

The Victorian capital posted a -1.1%t quarterly move according to CoreLogic figures, taking the city’s median dwelling price to $772,561. Investors should take note that the gross rental yield figure for Melbourne now sits at 3.7%.

Sydney

In the three months to February’s end, Sydney experienced a dwelling value change of -0.9% resulting in a median of $1.186 million. The gross rental yield for the Harbour City is currently the lowest of the capitals at 3.1%.

Brisbane

The Queensland capital has again recorded the second most expensive spot for dwelling values at $894,425, and a quarterly rise of 0.9%. Brisbane has recorded a gross rental yield of 3.7%.

Canberra

The national capital recorded a decline of -0.8% during the quarter with the median now sitting at $846,955. For Canberra, the gross rental yield is 4.1%.

Perth

Continuing its lead as the best-performing capital over the quarter, Perth jumped 3% for the second quarter in a row, taking its medium to $807,933. Perth recorded 4.3% gross rental yield.

For more information about how you might be able to purchase a property in the current market, get in touch with us today. 

Note: all figures in the city snapshots are sourced from: CoreLogic’s national Home Value Index (March 2025)

If you have any questions or need any information please give us a call on 039723 0522.

Stay up to date with what’s happened in the Australian economy and markets over the past month.

The RBA dropped the cash rate to 4.10%, the first reduction since November 2020, however the RBA remains cautious regarding further cash rate cuts.

While tension continues between Russia-Ukraine and the Middle East, and a trade war looms due to Trump’s proposed tariffs, the global economic outlook remains unpredictable and markets are volatile.

Click here for our March update video.

Please get in touch on 03 9723 0522 if you’d like assistance with your personal financial situation.

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Email: integrityone@iplan.com.au

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Buying a home is one of the most exciting milestones in life, but when you’re a couple working together to save for that all-important deposit, it can really put the relationship under pressure.

It’s rare for couples to see eye to eye on every financial detail. You will most likely have different spending habits, levels of income, and priorities, and that’s perfectly normal. But if you’re not careful, those differences can lead to stress and conflict. And let’s face it—nothing kills romance faster than arguments about money, so here are some things to consider to keep things harmonious.

Getting on the same page

One of the biggest sources of tension when buying a home together is not having clear, mutual goals. So, before diving into the savings process, have an open conversation about why you are doing this and jointly agree on your goals in terms of the property you both envision, your timeframe to buy – and your budget.

Setting goals together ensures you’re both working toward the same dream and provides a powerful incentive to stay on track.

Acknowledge and respect differences in income

Most couples don’t earn the same amount, and this can create a sense of imbalance when saving for a home deposit, especially if one partner is contributing a larger portion of the savings. The key here is to approach it with understanding and respect.

If one of you earns significantly more than the other, have a frank discussion about how to approach saving. While it might feel fair to equally split the deposit, that’s not always realistic and you may wish to consider contributing based on a percentage of your income.

The goal is to make sure that both partners feel they are contributing fairly, even if the contributions aren’t equal in dollar terms. Keep the conversation open and revisit it regularly to ensure both partners are comfortable with the arrangements. Now you can create a budget.

Set a budget that works for both of you

Budgeting is a critical part of the saving process, and while it can be challenging, it doesn’t have to cause tension if you approach it as a team. The first step is to sit down and create a budget that works for both of you.

Understand where your money is currently going. Review your regular expenses (like bills and groceries), and discretionary spending (like entertainment or dining out) and work out how much you can realistically save each month towards your home deposit. If it’s tight, consider cutting back on non-essential spending, but make sure both of you are comfortable with the level of sacrifice required.

Be flexible and ready to adjust

Life doesn’t always go to plan, and sometimes unexpected events or changes in circumstances can impact your ability to save. If something comes up—a job loss, a health issue, or an unexpected bill—don’t panic.

Having an emergency fund or backup plan can also help ease the pressure. Discuss ways to handle any changes. Stay flexible and be willing to adjust your plan as needed.

Celebrate your progress

Saving for a home deposit is a long-term goal, and it’s common to feel as though it’s taking forever. But every little milestone counts, and taking time to celebrate those wins, no matter how small, can help keep momentum going. Whether it’s reaching your first $5,000 in savings or sticking to the budget for a whole month, acknowledging your progress is important.

Celebrating together also reminds you why you’re working so hard in the first place—so you can have a place to call your own. It doesn’t have to be an expensive celebration; a simple picnic in the park or catching a movie can mark the occasion.

Keep communication open

One of the most significant things you can do to avoid conflict is to communicate regularly and openly. It’s easy to build up frustration and talking about issues sooner rather than later can avoid them growing into a source of conflict.

Money is often an emotional subject, so keep the tone of these discussions calm and supportive, remembering you’re both in this together.

At the end of the day, your relationship is the foundation—your home is just the physical space you’ll share. So, keep the laughter, love, and affection flowing as you navigate this journey together.

As we advance into the 21st century, the concept of ageing is undergoing a transformation, largely thanks to a new generation of “oldies” who don’t feel old – and are reframing what it means to be getting on in years.

Traditionally, ageing has been associated with decline, frailty, and a sense of irrelevance. However, today’s generation is challenging societal norms and expectations while embracing a more vibrant and empowered perspective on life in later years.

A generational shift

Never a generation to just accept the way things are, Baby Boomers and even Gen X, laid the groundwork for what it means to live authentically. This is the generation that redefined adolescence, invented pop culture, challenged inequality, and protested when they saw things they wanted to change.

So, it’s no surprise that as they age, they’re also redefining what growing older looks like. The mantra “60 is the new 40” isn’t just a catchy phrase; it’s a way of life for many in this generation. They’re proving that age is merely a number and that it’s perfectly acceptable to keep living life to the fullest – no matter the decade.

Age is just a number – who’s counting?

Gone are the days when turning 60 felt like a one-way ticket to the rocking chair. Today, many who have had a few milestone birthdays are living life with the enthusiasm of a kid at an amusement park, and it’s reflected in improved longevity and better health outcomes.

Science says we all have a chronological age (the actual years on the clock) and a cognitive age (how old you feel). It’s been found that those who have a younger cognitive age have improved health, higher life satisfaction, greater activity levels, and more positive attitudes toward ageing than those who have an older cognitive age – regardless of their chronological ages.

Another study conducted an experiment with a group of elderly men – taking them back to where they lived in their youth and treating them as the young person they were back then. Compared to the control group, those who mentally went ‘back in time’ showed improved posture, dexterity and physical appearance. Even their vision improved.

Embracing longevity and vitality

It’s not just about your mindset though. One of the most significant shifts in how we view ageing is the increased focus on health and well-being along with the average life expectancy. As a society, our overall health is improving with the average life expectancy, which for males is 81.1 years and for females is 85.1 years.

Nowadays, staying healthy is not just about dodging the doctor; it’s about thriving! With an abundance of information on nutrition and fitness, today’s older adults are more informed than ever. Many are embracing a proactive approach to ageing, with lifestyle tweaks, focusing on mental health, mindfulness, and physical fitness.

Lifelong learning and personal growth

Education is another area where the perception of ageing is evolving. Gone are the days when education was seen as a one-and-done deal. Today, many individuals see learning as a lifelong journey and the availability of online courses, workshops, and community programs has made it easier for people to pursue new interests and skills at any age.

This focus on lifelong learning not only enriches individual lives but also has broader benefits. Older adults are increasingly pursuing new careers, starting businesses, or volunteering in their communities. They are leveraging their experiences to make meaningful contributions, proving that age does not limit one’s potential for achievement.

Challenging stereotypes and embracing authenticity

Despite these positive changes, ageism remains a significant societal issue. Stereotypes about ageing can limit opportunities for older adults and perpetuate harmful narratives. However, today’s generation is actively working to combat ageism and promote a more inclusive view.

One of the most exciting parts of this shift is the emphasis on individuality. Whether it’s starting a new trend, or speaking out about causes we care about, it’s about showing the world that ageing doesn’t mean fading into the background. Instead, it’s about standing out and living well.

None of us can hold back the years but this redefined perspective on aging encourages us to view our later years as a time for growth, exploration, and fulfillment. As society evolves, it’s crucial to support and amplify this message, ensuring that ageing is embraced as a vital and dynamic part of life and fostering a culture that values every stage of life.

Forget the rocking chairs; the golden oldies are here to live boldly, laugh heartily, and inspire others along the way.

Thanks to the decisive victory of US President-elect Donald Trump, we’re now set to hear a whole lot more of his favourite word.

It’s something of a love affair. On the campaign trail in October, he said:

To me, the most beautiful word in the dictionary is tariff.

Previously, he’s matched such rhetoric with real policies. When he was last in office, Trump imposed a range of tariffs.

Now set to return to the White House, he wants tariffs of 10-20% on all imports to the US, and tariffs of 60% or more on those from China.

Most of us understand tariffs are some kind of barrier to trade between countries. But how exactly do they work? Who pays them – and what effects can they have on an economy?

What are tariffs?

An import tariff – sometimes called an import duty – is simply a tax on a good or service that is imported into a country. It’s collected by the government of the country importing the product.

How exactly does that work in practice?

Imagine Australia decided to impose a 10% tariff on all imported washing machines from South Korea.

If an Australian consumer or a business wanted to import a $1,200 washing machine from South Korea, they would have to pay the Australian government $120 when it entered the country.

So, everything else being equal, the final price an Australian consumer would end up paying for this washing machine is $1,320.

If a local industry or another country without the tariff could produce a competing good at a similar price, it would have a cost advantage.

Other trade barriers

Because tariffs make imports more expensive, economists refer to them as a trade barrier. They aren’t the only kind.

One other common non-tariff trade barrier is an import quota – a limit on how much of a particular good can be imported into a country.

Governments can also create other non-tariff barriers to trade.

These include administrative or regulatory requirements, such as customs forms, labelling requirements or safety standards that differ across countries.

What are the effects?

Tariffs can have two main effects.

First, they generate tax revenue for the government. This is a major reason why many countries have historically had tariff systems in place.

Borders and ports are natural places to record and regulate what flows into and out of a country. That makes them easy places to impose and enforce taxes.

Second, tariffs raise the cost of buying things produced in other countries. As such, they discourage this action and encourage alternatives, such as buying from domestic producers.

Protecting domestic workers and industries from foreign competition underlies the economic concept of “protectionism”.

The argument is that by making imports more expensive, tariffs will increase spending on domestically produced goods and services, leading to greater demand for domestic workers, and helping a country’s local industries grow.

Swapping producers isn’t always easy

Tariffs may increase the employment and wages of workers in import-competing industries. However, they can also impose costs, and create higher prices for consumers.

True, foreign producers trying to sell goods under a tariff may reduce their prices to remain competitive as exporters, but this only goes so far. At least some of the cost of any tariff imposed by a country will likely be passed on to consumers.

Simply switching to domestic manufacturers likely means paying more. After all, without tariffs, buyers were choosing foreign producers for a reason.

Because they make selling their products in the country less profitable, tariffs also cause some foreign producers to exit the market altogether, which reduces the variety of products available to consumers. Less foreign competition can also give domestic businesses the ability to charge even higher prices.

Lower productivity and risk of retaliation

At an economy-wide level, trade barriers such as tariffs can reduce overall productivity.

That’s because they encourage industries to shift away from producing things for which a country has a comparative advantage into areas where it is relatively inefficient.

They can also artificially keep smaller, less productive producers afloat, while shrinking the size of larger, more productive producers.

Foreign countries may also respond to the tariffs by retaliating and imposing tariffs of their own.

We saw this under Trump’s previous administration, which increased tariffs on about US$350 billion worth of Chinese products between 2018 and 2019.

Several analyses have examined the effects and found it was not foreign producers but domestic consumers – and especially businesses relying on imported goods – that paid the full price of the tariffs.

In addition, the tariffs introduced in 2018 and 2019 failed to increase US employment in the sectors they targeted, while the retaliatory tariffs they attracted reduced employment, mainly in agriculture.

Economists’ verdict

Tariffs can generate tax revenue and may increase employment and wages in some import-competing sectors. But they can also raise prices and may reduce employment and wages in exporting sectors.

Do the benefits outweigh the costs? Economists are nearly unanimous – and have been for centuries – that trade barriers have an overall negative effect on an economy.

However free trade does not benefit everyone, and tariffs are clearly enjoying a moment of political popularity. There are interesting times ahead.

Source: https://theconversation.com/what-are-tariffs-243356